Notes From the Rabbit Hole

Does the Long Bond Think the Fed Will Taper QE?

Gary — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 19:04:13 +0000

By this big picture measure, the long bond seems to think that the Fed is going to taper its asset purchases. I guess in a confusing atmosphere like the one we are in the middle of, TA has the floor as long as it remains on a signal. The USB monthly chart says that a [...]

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Protected: NFTRH Update 6.17.13, Market Notes

Gary — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 14:43:16 +0000

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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‘The Fed Won’t Taper QE as Long as Inflation is Low’???

Gary — Mon, 17 Jun 2013 12:46:09 +0000

Here Rex Nutting argues that the Fed will not taper QE any time soon because their targets are further away now than when QE3 began. He argues that bond yields are not normal and are reflective of a struggling economy. “A normal economy would mean normal bond yields of around 4% to 5% for the [...]

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NFTRH 243 Out Now

Gary — Sun, 16 Jun 2013 14:47:43 +0000

Despite the opening segment’s title and the UK Subs classic below, it’s not a tin foil hat piece. Really.

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Weekend Reading

Gary — Sat, 15 Jun 2013 11:33:09 +0000

(e) = external link The King of EM Doug Noland 6.15.13 Gold CoT Data Show Bottoming Condition Tom McClellan 6.15.13 Inflation is Instantaneous Bob Hoye 6.15.13 pdf Classic Michael Ashton 6.15.13 Stanley Druckenmiller on Investing in the New Normal Zero Hedge 6.15.13 (e) Connecting the Dots Market Anthropology 6.15.13 (e) Financial Market Articles & News [...]

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Stereolab… John Cage Bubblegum

Gary — Fri, 14 Jun 2013 20:05:57 +0000

My kids think it’s hilarious that their middle aged dad listens to a band with two girl singers, one of whom sings in French. It is kind of hilarious, but I really like Stereolab; or liked them anyway. RIP Mary Hansen.

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Gold and Silver CoT Data Hot off the Press

Gary — Fri, 14 Jun 2013 19:47:27 +0000

Gold and silver maintain the bullish stance from last week and in fact silver goes really bullish by this indicator this week. Now of course, we are in the age of indicators mysteriously gone on the fritz so I guess that’s the caveat, if you want to call it one. Here’s silver…

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Crude Oil Breaks a Neckline

Gary — Fri, 14 Jun 2013 19:28:29 +0000

Have you noticed what crude oil has been doing lately? It has been forming in Inverted H&S pattern and the USO oil fund is breaking out today. We have been following this pattern over the last week in NFTRH, but there is a more important pattern by a big picture monthly chart that gets activated [...]

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Protected: NFTRH Update 6.14.13, HUI Daily Chart & Market Update

Gary — Fri, 14 Jun 2013 11:58:16 +0000

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Silver Chart, Daily

Gary — Thu, 13 Jun 2013 19:38:53 +0000

It’s pretty clear what silver’s immediate job is, isn’t it?

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