Tag Archives: gld

6-Year Low in GLD’s Bullion Inventory

By Steve Saville

The Meaning of the 6-Year Low in GLD’s Bullion Inventory

At the end of the week before last the amount of physical gold held by the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), the largest gold bullion ETF, fell to its lowest level since September-2008. What does this tell us?

In many TSI commentaries over the years and in a couple of posts at the TSI blog over the past year I’ve explained that changes in GLD’s bullion inventory are not directly related to the gold price. Neither a large rise nor a large fall in the gold price would necessarily require a change in GLD’s inventory, the reason being that as a fund that holds nothing other than gold bullion the net asset value (NAV) of a GLD share will naturally move by the same percentage amount as the gold price.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Update

A snapshot of the current technical status of several key markets (a lot of charts today because macro changes seem to be in effect)…

GLD broke down from the Sym-Tri (strike 1), lost the June low (strike 2) and now would try to find support at the December low, equiv. to gold 1180.  Over sold, prone to bounce but technically bearish below 120 and 123.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Update

A snapshot of current technicals for key markets…

GLD became very bearish with the breakdown from 124.  A rise above 123 is needed to even begin to repair this chart.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Update

A snapshot of the current technical status of key ETFs…

GLD filled gap, which now closes out the geopolitical hype and leaves gold on its own right at key support.  Still not a constructive looking chart.  A rise above the SMA 200 and then the 50 makes it constructive.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Charts

A slightly abbreviated Key ETF segment due to ongoing time commitments over the mid summer weeks.  Just a snapshot in time, picking up where we last left these charts a few weeks ago…

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NFTRH; Key ETF Charts

A snapshot of the current daily chart technical status of several ETFs…

GLD is bullish but in the equivalent resistance zone as noted for gold in NFTRH 296.  MACD and RSI positive, with RSI close to over bought.  Key support is at the MA 50 and 200.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Charts

Key ETF charts are a snapshot to current technicals, not comprehensive technical analysis.

GLD bumped above the lower end of resistance yesterday and is support for any continuing S/T rally activity.  The big test is in the 123 to 125 area and the nose of the former Symmetrical Triangle.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Charts

ETF daily charts are a snapshot of current technicals, not a comprehensive technical review.

GLD has lost support after spilling out of the Symmetrical Triangle.  Last week it was at the 62% Fib retrace and this week that is in the rear view window.  Still bearish.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Charts

ETF updates are meant as a snapshot of the current technical situation, not a comprehensive technical review.

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NFTRH; Key ETF Update

ETF updates are a snapshot of current daily technicals, not a comprehensive technical review.

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Update, Key ETF Charts

Note:  To keep unwanted clutter out of the in-boxes of those not interested in trade ideas NFTRH+ updates are no longer being emailed.  They are posted at the site and accessible using the password for the current week.  On Monday an NFTRH+ idea was presented for the NDX.

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