Big Bubbles! House Price Bubbles and Financial Stress (The Do Ho Financial Market)

By Anthony B. Sanders

Yes, we live in a “Do Ho” economy where bubbles (and not tiny ones) are pervasive. 

Look at the YoY growth in the all-transactions index from FHFA for US house prices compared to the St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index.

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When the financial stress index is low (less than zero), we see BIG home price bubbles.

Of course, home price bubbles occur when YoY changes in home prices outpace household earnings growth YoY.

homepricewages.png

If Don Ho were still alive, he could redo tiny bubbles as BIG bubbles.

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