The China economy extended a stable and improving trend in 1H
There’s nothing like a deluge of China econ to start your week.
Here are the numbers, just out:
- CHINA 2Q GDP GROWS 6.9% Y/Y; EST. 6.8%
- CHINA 2Q GDP GROWS 1.7% Q/Q; EST. 1.7%
- CHINA JUNE INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT RISES 7.6% Y/Y; EST. 6.5%
- FAI 8.6% H1; EST. 8.5%
- CHINA JUNE RETAIL SALES RISE 11.0% Y/Y; EST. 10.6%
So beats across the board, basically. “The economy extended a stable and improving trend in 1H, which provides solid basis for meeting the full-year economic growth target and achieving better results,” Xing Zhihong, spokesman for National Bureau of Statistics, said at a briefing.
But as noted a couple of hours ago, what did you expect?
The numbers came just after the PBoC set the yuan fix a the strongest in eight months and injected liquidity:
Meanwhile, to follow up on something we documented extensively last week, the ChiNext is still in free fall, down almost 3%, to extend its worst weekly loss in nearly a year.
As Bloomberg notes, the index has fallen 14% this year, set for lowest close since January 2015. Weighing on the index Monday morning are investor concerns about authorities ramping up their deleveraging campaign, Central China Securities Holdings says. “Regulator’s weekend meeting reflects that China may further tighten the financial market, which has worried investors,” Zhang Gang, a Shanghai-based strategist notes. “People are rushing to cut risks.”
“Many China small cap shares have been driven higher by market liquidity in the absence of strong earnings or fundamentals,” Ronald Wan, chief executive at Partners Capital International Ltd. in Hong Kong, added. “If liquidity dries up, the market will be affected.”
The SHCOMP was also down sharply out of the gate before bouncing a bit:
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