The Long View With Projections

By Tim Knight

On this quiet holiday weekend, I thought I’d share a couple of very long-term charts (which PLUS users enjoy via SlopeCharts) Here’s the Dow 30 featuring Fibonacci retracements and a projection. As you can see, the projection has been exceeded (see inset); in the normal world, this is called a “failure”, but in the world of charting, it’s a “throwover.”

1123-indu

A similar study is shown on the S&P 500. In each of these cases, the bottom anchor point is at the depths of the Great Depression.

1123-spx

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