The Mist! US Housing Starts Plunge Under Rising Interest Rates

By Anthony B. Sanders

Hurricanes Florence and Jerome

There is little doubt that Federal Reserve policies have resulted in mispriced risk and massive distortions in the economy. Fed Chairs Bernanke and Yellen were masters of distortion (keeping rates too low for too long) while Fed Chair Powell (Hurricane Jerome) is raising rates rapidly in the face of little-to-no inflation. Throw in Hurricane Florence and we have “The Mist” where fear changes everything.

Housing starts for September were released yesterday and, as expected, the numbers were down across the board (except for the West where it is seemingly always sunny).

rezcon

1-unit starts (aka, single family detached) are still below 2000 levels thanks, in part, to The Federal Reserve dropping their target rate like a hammer to 1%. We got a massive construction response. That blew up, so The Fed dropped their target rate like a hammer … again from which Hurricane Jerome is only recently begun raising.

1unitfed

But it is with multifamily (5+ unit starts) that Fed rate increases are being daunting.

5unitst.png

In a sense, The Fed destroyed the single family detached housing market (along with other misguided Federal programs) and now The Fed is applying its mist to the multifamily market.

thefedmovie

Courtesy of the great Jesse’s Cafe Americain!

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