Mid-Term Election Cycle

By Kevin Muir

There’s a lot of chatter going around today about how “since World War 2, there has not been a down period for the S&P 500 in the twelve months following the mid-term elections.”

That seemed a little incredible, so I decided to do some work confirming. Sure enough, it’s spot on correct!

Figuring I couldn’t add much to this discussion, I choose to make a fancy chart instead. It’s kind of like putting your crappy essay in a really nice presentation jacket.

So without further ado, here are the eighteen mid-term election periods since 1946.

Thanks for reading,
Kevin Muir
the MacroTourist

East West Investment Management
Global Select Opportunities Fund

PS: If you haven’t subscribed to the East West Research feed, please check out our latest piece – Emerging Markets – always a good addition to a portfolio, but maybe a great one now?

PPS: For those that are interested, I have been keeping (somewhat) on top of our Long Bond Volatility Experiment. Don’t forget to visit that page and check for daily updates at the bottom of the article. So far, we are marking up $2.75 bucks on our yard of 118 December straddles. But the theta reaper is at the door…

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Gary

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