The United States: Residential investment has been weakening in recent quarters.
At the same time, the latest Senior Loan Officer Survey from the Fed shows falling demand for residential mortgages.
It’s worth noting that in the past, declines in residential investment led the way into recessions.
China: China increasingly imports goods for domestic consumption (rather than for re-exporting).
The Eurozone: This chart compares share buybacks in the US and the Eurozone (this divergence contributed to the US outperformance).
Equities: Below are the consensus quarterly earnings estimates for the S&P 500.
Rates: Yields on Treasuries hedged into euros or yen are moving deeper into negative territory (making US bonds less attractive for foreign investors).
Emerging Markets: EM debt levels have risen substantially over the past decade. Here is the breakdown.
Food for Thought: Rideshare drivers’ earnings:
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