The Daily Shot Brief – November 14th, 2018

By The Daily Shot


The United States: The number of Americans not working due to illness has declined in recent years (higher wages pull more people into the labor force).

Source: @JedKolko

China: Credit expansion continues.

Source: Scotiabank Economics

The weakness has been in non-bank credit.

Source: Nomura, @zerohedge

The Eurozone: When is the ECB’s “liftoff”?

Source: Deutsche Bank Research

Rates: Will the massive global debt load slow the Fed’s rate hike trajectory?

Source: ANZ Research

Equities: While bank shares tend to trade with the slope of the yield curve, there doesn’t seem to be a direct relationship between the 10yr-2yr Treasury spread and net interest margins.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service

Emerging Markets: This chart provides a detailed history of EM crises by region and type.

Source: Capital Economics

Food for Thought: Old-age dependency ratio:

Source: Gavekal

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