The Daily Shot Brief – November 29th, 2018

By The Daily Shot

Greetings,

The United States: The Q3 GDP update was unchanged at 3.5%. Here are the latest adjustments of the GDP components.

Source: The Daily Shot

 

China: These charts show the components of China’s consumer credit and debt-service burden.

Source: Gavekal

 

The Eurozone: Italian banks have a relatively small liquidity position, making them more vulnerable.

Source: TS Lombard

 

Global Developments: The G4 central banks’ balance sheet is expected to trough next year. Presumably, the Fed will end its quantitative tightening to ensure ample bank reserves (economists are concerned that tight bank reserves will push the benchmark rate above the Fed’s desired range).

Source: Morgan Stanley Research

 

Credit: This chart shows the distribution of leveraged loan issuance by rating.

Source: Moody’s Investors Service

 

Asia-Pacific: Sales expectations point to further weakness in Japan’s manufacturing sector.

Source: Longview Economics

 


Food for Thought: Immigration and the labor force:

Source: Oxford Economics

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