By David Stockman
This is getting pretty ridiculous. For old times sake, we recently checked on the Federal debt level during the month we arrived in the Imperial City as a 24-year old eager beaver. That was June 1970 and the Federal debt held by the public was $275 billion.
Mind you, while that number wasn’t exactly diminutive, it had taken all of 188 years to accumulate. That is to say, Uncle Sam had borrowed an average of $28,000 per week during the 9,776 weeks since George Washington was sworn in as the nation’s first president.
Continue reading The Albatross Of Debt: The Stock Market’s $67 Trillion Nightmare, Part 1
By Tim Knight
Strengthening bond prices. Surging oil. Strong equities. Grumble. Today is one of those “days to endure” for me. Ah, well. Here’s one idea to share: fallen angel Chipotle, which even with the recent bounce is still 60% off its peak. What we have here is a consistent series of lower lows and lower highs: the very definition of a downtrend.
Continue reading Holy Guacamole
By Michael Ashton
With interest rates flirting with 3% on the 10-year Treasury note, and the potential (and eventuality) that they will go significantly higher, I thought it might be timely to review a blog post from February 10, 2013 called “Limits on the 500-pound Gorilla.” (It’s worth reading that original post for some of the comments attached thereto.)
Well, here’s an interesting little tidbit. (But first, a note from our sponsors: some channels didn’t pick up my article from last Wednesday, “Fun With The CPI,” so follow that link if you’d like to read it.)
The Fed adds permanent reserves by buying securities, as we all know by now. The Open Market Desk buys securities and credits the Fed account of the selling institution. Conversely, when the Fed subtracts reserves permanently, it sells securities and debits the account of the buying institution.
Continue reading Limits on the 500-Pound Gorilla
By Anthony B. Sanders
Venezuela must be taking the books/movies “The Hunger Games” literally.
(Bloomberg) — Venezuela’s bolivar plunged more than 80 percent as the central bank restarted currency auctions for the first time since August as part of its efforts to ease a severe shortage of dollars and clamp down on hyperinflation.
One dollar bought about 25,000 bolivars at the auction, compared with 3,345 bolivars at the last so-called Dicom sale about six months ago. The rate announced Monday is still much stronger than in the black market, where individuals and businesses without access to the official markets pay about 225,000 bolivars per dollar, according to dolartoday.com.
Continue reading Venezuela Devalues Bolivar More Than 80% in Currency Auction…
By Tom McClellan
February 23, 2018
Why is the VIX spiking now? Because now is when it is supposed to do that.
Volatility and interest rates have an interesting relationship, going back many years. Higher interest rates pull money away from the stock market, and thus make it so that prices have to travel farther to find liquidity, after a positive or negative stimulus.
Continue reading Volatility and Interest Rates